Togo’s economic growth rate forecast falls to 1%, from 5.5%

Investments
Monday, 20 April 2020 10:50
Togo’s economic growth rate forecast falls to 1%, from 5.5%

(Togo First) - Already scaled down a few weeks ago to 3% (from 5.5%), the growth forecast for the Togolese economy this year has been further reduced to 1%. This is as sub-Saharan Africa braces for its first recession in 25 years. 

This is bad news for the national development plan which was set to take off a little after the presidential elections. However, the tides could turn next year in the event the coronavirus pandemic ends soon. Still, Togo -being a leading business center and logistics hub- is highly exposed to external shocks. 

Given its strong trade ties with China and Europe, its weak health system, and dependency on tourism, Togo, the IMF foresees, will greatly suffer from the Coronavirus pandemic. 

Indeed, in its latest update of growth forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, the IMF said Togo’s budgetary balance, which was in surplus at end-2019, should widen to 4.1% while the rate of inflation should grow to 2%, against 0.7% in 2019. 

According to the institution’s resident representative, Sampawendé Jules Tapsoba, who presented the document on April 17, the effects of the crisis can already be felt in the retail and leisure industries. Between January and February 2020, way before Togo reported its first Covid-19 case, traffic in retail stores, markets and recreational areas had fallen by one-third.

Fiacre E. Kakpo

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