(Togo First) - In the space of twelve months, the share of non-performing loans in Togo’s banking sector has nearly doubled, according to data published in the Central Bank of West African States’ (BCEAO) March 2026 monthly bulletin.
In February 2026, the gross non-performing loan ratio at Togolese banks reached 13.5%, up from 7.2% a year earlier. In absolute terms, non-performing loans rose from 171.5 billion CFA francs in February 2025 to 318.2 billion a year later, an increase of 85% over the period. That marks the sharpest deterioration recorded across the WAEMU zone on this indicator.
The net NPL ratio, which measures banks’ remaining exposure after provisions, stood at 8.2%, compared with 2.7% in February 2025. More troubling still, the provisioning coverage ratio for doubtful loans fell sharply, dropping from 63.9% to 42.3% in one year. Togolese banks are setting aside proportionally less to absorb potential losses.
“Such a rapid deterioration generally reflects a combination of unanticipated sectoral shocks and an insufficiently forward-looking provisioning policy,” a banking analyst said.
The deterioration is unfolding even as Togolese banks remain highly liquid. Their reserves at the BCEAO reached 166.3 billion CFA francs in March 2026, against required reserves of just 74.2 billion. But faced with weakening asset quality, banks are favouring caution over credit expansion.
Sectoral data offer some clues to the deterioration. Outstanding short-term lending to Togo’s trade sector fell from 292 billion CFA francs in November 2025 to 148 billion in January 2026, a contraction of nearly 50% in two months. At the same time, banks are charging an average lending rate of 7.51%, among the highest in the WAEMU zone and well above the 6.40% charged in Côte d'Ivoire. Costly credit, becoming increasingly scarce, is being extended to already-fragile borrowers, increasing the risk of arrears.
Adding to the pressure, banks hold 623.5 billion CFA francs in exposure to Togolese government debt, limiting the funds available for private-sector lending.
The BCEAO is expected to publish its next monthly data in the coming weeks. The figures will show whether the deterioration in Togo’s loan portfolio has stabilised or continues to worsen.
Fiacre Kakpo