(Togo First) - Togo's Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques et démographiques (INSEED) released preliminary 2025 national accounts data in Lomé in May 2026. Nominal gross domestic product reached 6,919.1 billion CFA francs, while the economy expanded by 6.3% in real terms.
Based on a population estimated at 8.5 million by the United Nations and converted at the average annual exchange rate of 581.93 CFA francs to the dollar, GDP per capita stood at roughly $1,400. This puts the country within reach of the World Bank's lower-middle-income classification.
The World Bank calculates gross national income per capita using the Atlas method, which smooths exchange rates over three years. The threshold for lower-middle-income status is set at $1,136 for the 2026 fiscal year. Togo remains classified as a low-income economy, but the gap is narrowing. With GDP per capita now above that threshold and economic growth exceeding 6% for a fifth consecutive year, Togo could be reclassified in one of the World Bank's upcoming annual reviews, the next of which is expected on July 1, 2026.
A double-edged status
The reclassification would carry mixed implications. For private investors, it would signal a strengthening economy and could support future fundraising on international markets. Togo would also join Côte d'Ivoire, Senegal and Benin within the West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) as lower-middle-income economies.
The new status could also gradually reduce access to financing from the International Development Association (IDA), the World Bank's concessional lending arm. In practice, however, the transition tends to be gradual. Benin, Côte d'Ivoire and Senegal, despite having already moved into the lower-middle-income category, continue to receive substantial IDA financing. Senegal's current portfolio alone stands at nearly $2.8 billion.
Sub-Saharan Africa remains the World Bank's main priority region, accounting for nearly three-quarters of IDA disbursements. The fund's 21st replenishment cycle, which took effect in July 2025, raised a record $100 billion.
Fiacre E. Kakpo